Minority voters increased their percentage of the electorate by six points from from 2006 to 2010 in Nevada, a potential harbinger for 2012 that could save some Democrats, an analysis by the Hotline’s Reid Wilson indicates.
The results are stark: Jack Carter, the former president’s son who was the Democrats’ sacrificial lamb to John Ensign in 2006, got a larger percentage of white college graduates than….Harry Reid last cycle.
Here’s what Wilson found:
Carter in ’06:
White college grads – 43% (32% of the electorate)
Non-college whites – 32% (45%)
Minorities – 54% (23%)
Reid in ’10:
White college grads – 41% (32% of the electorate)
Non-college whites – 42% (39%)
Minorities – 72% (29%)
The implications here are obvious: Unless the GOP here — and this holds nationally, too — can find a way to cut into the Democratic advantage among minorities, they have major problems. No wonder the Republican National Committee has a Hispanic outreach program and no wonder Reid wants Ruben Kihuen on the ballot in November.
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